Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.050910 0.055301 0.059748 0.064581 0.069679 0.074890 0.080610
2025-06-08 0.045201 0.051755 0.058626 0.066340 0.074732 0.083557 0.093514
2025-06-15 0.040502 0.048604 0.057360 0.067466 0.078744 0.090885 0.104883
2025-06-22 0.036531 0.045766 0.056024 0.068154 0.081995 0.097190 0.115028
2025-06-29 0.032936 0.042970 0.054404 0.068229 0.084318 0.102290 0.123717
2025-07-06 0.030996 0.041884 0.054568 0.070190 0.088672 0.109610 0.134885
2025-07-13 0.028026 0.039307 0.052751 0.069631 0.089935 0.113260 0.141767
2025-07-20 0.025818 0.037483 0.051681 0.069819 0.091958 0.117709 0.149519
2025-07-27 0.024271 0.036365 0.051368 0.070831 0.094895 0.123185 0.158456
2025-08-03 0.023175 0.035738 0.051594 0.072447 0.098526 0.129473 0.168365
2025-08-10 0.020505 0.032850 0.048788 0.070124 0.097197 0.129704 0.170968
2025-08-17 0.018819 0.031180 0.047455 0.069575 0.097990 0.132448 0.176550
2025-08-24 0.017251 0.029607 0.046210 0.069128 0.098937 0.135442 0.182550
2025-08-31 0.016735 0.029495 0.046906 0.071217 0.103124 0.142478 0.193563
2025-09-07 0.015980 0.028986 0.047024 0.072517 0.106294 0.148266 0.203083
2025-09-14 0.015110 0.028247 0.046779 0.073297 0.108773 0.153188 0.211553
2025-09-21 0.014093 0.027217 0.046069 0.073403 0.110340 0.156946 0.218577
2025-09-28 0.013757 0.027214 0.046805 0.075480 0.114510 0.164031 0.229812
2025-10-05 0.012663 0.025944 0.045654 0.074898 0.115113 0.166536 0.235273
2025-10-12 0.011871 0.025107 0.045091 0.075098 0.116735 0.170338 0.242378
2025-10-19 0.011370 0.024713 0.045155 0.076164 0.119513 0.175635 0.251399
2025-10-26 0.011064 0.024625 0.045668 0.077864 0.123159 0.182081 0.261923
2025-11-02 0.009756 0.022730 0.043353 0.075421 0.121074 0.180985 0.262729